Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.017951 0.020895 0.024147 0.028000 0.032439 0.037389 0.043325
2025-12-07 0.013413 0.017184 0.021734 0.027618 0.035012 0.043983 0.055678
2025-12-14 0.010130 0.014104 0.019285 0.026506 0.036280 0.049015 0.066832
2025-12-21 0.008104 0.012142 0.017774 0.026154 0.038249 0.055008 0.079917
2025-12-28 0.007106 0.011355 0.017642 0.027545 0.042660 0.064746 0.099318
2026-01-04 0.006170 0.010456 0.017151 0.028254 0.046074 0.073383 0.118163
2026-01-11 0.005127 0.009184 0.015849 0.027451 0.046964 0.078217 0.131711
2026-01-18 0.004394 0.008286 0.014984 0.027173 0.048573 0.084257 0.147764
2026-01-25 0.003728 0.007382 0.013955 0.026431 0.049238 0.088734 0.161636
2026-02-01 0.003211 0.006659 0.013126 0.025895 0.050139 0.093632 0.176689
2026-02-08 0.002811 0.006090 0.012488 0.025601 0.051400 0.099239 0.193542
2026-02-15 0.002425 0.005483 0.011684 0.024860 0.051691 0.103052 0.207437
2026-02-22 0.002265 0.005332 0.011780 0.025955 0.055765 0.114554 0.237484
2026-03-01 0.002022 0.004960 0.011367 0.025944 0.057609 0.121950 0.260382
2026-03-08 0.001744 0.004458 0.010600 0.025060 0.057511 0.125444 0.275811
2026-03-15 0.001550 0.004122 0.010148 0.024806 0.058721 0.131738 0.297719
2026-03-22 0.001486 0.004092 0.010392 0.026170 0.063688 0.146502 0.339258
2026-03-29 0.001385 0.003951 0.010355 0.026866 0.067209 0.158499 0.376035
2026-04-05 0.001216 0.003603 0.009755 0.026110 0.067224 0.162690 0.395795
2026-04-12 0.001094 0.003357 0.009377 0.025850 0.068392 0.169619 0.422549
2026-04-19 0.000966 0.003072 0.008855 0.025145 0.068362 0.173732 0.443124
2026-04-26 0.000861 0.002837 0.008431 0.024635 0.068757 0.178889 0.466734
2026-05-03 0.000778 0.002650 0.008109 0.024356 0.069711 0.185499 0.494579